Larry,

You're right, he DOESN'T see his shadow every year. This year was the 15th time he hasn't seen his shadow.

However, let's take another look at this.. The above figure means that in 120 years (the whole thing started in 1887) 105 times he HAS seen his shadow.

Not good odds in my book. At any rate, seeing his shadow hasn't always been the correct answer either.

Don't remember exactly, but I think the last time he didn't see his shadow was in 1999. And, your right. This would be the type of "lock" everyone would like to have going for their town, business, etc.

Pete