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This is an interesting thread. I am getting increasingly interested in RE - however I do belive in trends,and the fact the RE (specially in CA - where I live is in a bubble....
so bubbles pop....right? > In the latest issue of The Entrepreneur's > Hotsheet we linked to a post which > contained a story about a woman who became a > millionaire in 7 years. See the story here: > http://www.creonline.com/wwwboard/messages/49935.html > While the story revealed what she did - in > general - it doesn't tell HOW she did it. It > does not reveal the Investment Math behind > it. > This is my take on what she did... > She bought one property (home, apartment, > condo, townhouse, etc.) per year using > Interest Only Loans! Bought correctly, > the rent should be enough to cover interest, > insurance, taxes and repairs. > Assuming it covers these things exactly, > what then happens is > the properties go up in value. The > difference between what she owes and the > current value of the property is its Equity > . And that Equity is hers. > After ten years (or seven in her case), her > first property should have doubled in value. > If she paid $100,000 for it, it should now > be worth $200,000. But she only owes > $100,000 on it. So $100,000 would belong to > her. > Her second property (the one she bought in > year two) would nearly be doubled and would > certainly be doubled the following year. > Adding up the value of all her properties, > you will come up with over one million > dollars of worth. Possibly even two million. > Of that, her share would be quite > substantial - $700,000 or more, depending on > how fast the property is increasing in > value. (At 10% increase per year, the value > will double in about seven years. At 7% per > year increase, the property will double in > about ten years. At 5% increase, the > property will double in about fifteen > years.) > For example: Here is the value and equity of > a property bought for $100,000 with $10,000 > deposit, over a fifteen year period. > Year 1: $105,000 with $15,000 equity > Year 2: $110,250 with $20,250 equity > Year 3: $115,762 with $25,762 equity > Year 4: $121,550 with $31,550 equity > Year 5: $127,628 with $37,628 equity > Year 6: $134,009 with $44,009 equity > Year 7: $140,710 with $50,710 equity > Year 8: $147,745 with $57,745 equity > Year 9: $155,132 with $65,132 equity > Year 10: $162,889 with $72,889 equity > Year 11: $171,033 with $81,003 equity > Year 12: $179,585 with $89,585 equity > Year 13: $188,564 with $98,564 equity > Year 14: $197,993 with $107,993 equity > Year 15: $207,892 with $117,892 equity > Note that the proprty is worth $207,000. > It has $117,892 in equity and the borrowed > $90,000 is still owed because it was an > interest only loan. > Note also that during this time period, > while the repayments would have stayed > relatively the same the rent has been > increased. So if the property was in a > slight negative cash flow in the beginning, > it probably became a positive cash flow > property after two years because of rent > increases. > Note also that if the porperty was turned > into a Share Accomodation type of property, > the overall rent collected will be higher. > For example: a 2 bed apartment might rent > out for $480 per month ($120 per week), but > you could justify $400 per month ($100 per > week) per person when renting it > individually in a "share" > situation. > Back to the example property... > After 15 years, the property value has more > than doubled and it is producing positive > cash flow. > IF one such property had been bought per > year, then each property would be at a > different stage of the growth table. The > property bought in year 2 would have the > value matching the year 14 example. > Anyway. After 15 years, you have a whole > bunch of property. Some will be in such a > state of positive cash flow - the properties > near double their value - that in theory you > can now RETIRE. > To retire, you Borrow the equity back out of > the oldest property on an interest only > loan. The property's existing rent should > more than cover that "loan." > You use this money to live on. > The following year, you borrow the money out > of house number two - as it has now doubled > in value and its rent will also more than > cover the borrowing. > The following year, it's house number > three's turn. > Each time, the loan is interest only. And > the property's rent should more than cover > it. > By the time you have gone through your > collection of properties, the first property > should have doubled in value again. > In our example, that means it should be > worth about $432,379. Of that, you have the > original $90,000 loan and the $117,892 > equity you took out - if you could only get > 80% of that equity you would have gotten > $94,313 and may have elected for $90,000 > because it's even. Assuming you only took > $90,000 out, your total borrowing is now > $180,000 with $252,379 equity! That's over > one quarter of a million dollars in equity. > Waiting for you to borrow out again, if you > want to. > Note that while you do have the option of > borrowing the equity back out of each of > your properties after they have doubled in > price, many will be throwing off substantial > positive cashflow because of the increase in > rent over the years. > Note also that while this sounds simple - > and does not require any > "creative" financing - that > properties increase in value at different > rates in different part of the country and > in different parts of a city. And you will > need to pick your properties wisely. You are > only buying one property per year so there > is No Rush. Also, finding your property will > require research on your part. And cash flow > analysis. You need to be able to figure the > income the property will make you (after all > expenses - interest, taxes, insurance, > repairs). > Well, that's how I believe the woman in the > story became a millionaire and how you can > use the same method to also become a > millionaire and to retire, if you want. > Final note: If debt scares you, this method > is not for you. On the other hand, if you > can handle the debt from an emotional point > of view, then this method might be right up > your alley. > Michael Ross > P.S. Hopefuly Robert Campbell will jump in > here and share some of his "timing the > real estate market" knowledge. learn about trends ![]() |
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