Bell Curve-Flat Line and Lucky Al's HOTSHEET
 

Several years ago, I wrote the Bell Curve Flat Roof report on the lotteries.

I have recently started to develop a weekly HOTSHEET; Lucky Al's Lottery OHIO HOTSHEET...and hopefully it will be ready to roll out June 1, depending...on lots of things.

This weekly newsletter sent out every Sun. Eve to subscribers, who pay the 3.50 per mo. fee. My target is 500 subscribers for the Summer going into the fall. That will give me a gross of 1750 per mo of recurring income, if they maintain subscription, offered ONLY month to month, first come, first served.

This HOTSHEET will be my test, and if garners subscribers, then I will roll it out to other 50 state, province and territory lotteries, roughly at the same price.

The OHIO one is the template, and I may have an "affiliate" for each Hotsheet, depending on the tests go.

The OHIO HOTSHEET will focus on Pick 3, Pick 4 and Rolling Cash 5 with a weekly column also on the multistate lotteries, Megamillions, PowerBall and Lucky for Life...but not the data as is there for the Ohio games.

How will I get subscribers? I'll have a revised Bell Curve Report posted at Gumroad for $19.99 and also a special, if they come via a special link, where they can get it for 2 bux, and that 2 dollars goes to the link sender, hopefully, Ohio Facebook group admins.

The report will offer the subscription, for less than two tickets in the Multistate draws...so at 3.50 per month...I hope it will be a Why Not? purchase.

I plan to make the HOTSHEET entertaining, featuring a weekly article, moon cycles, horoscopes, mailbag (subscribers writing in), and classified ad section where almost anything goes. Almost anything.

The Ohio template will be used for future HOTSHEETS, NY, PA and IL being the first three to be added. I will give a bonus to the "affiliate" for hitting certain subscription numbers.

Anyhow, this is my last information project (although collaboration is still on the table)...and Entertainment and Gaming are evergreen markets with tons of niches, I just happen to play the lottery, so that is what I will stay with for now.

Any thoughts?

Gordon

25 years later...a 1995.00 course.
 

I think it has been 25 years since I sat in Mike McGroarty's kitchen eating homemade cookies and doing a guerrilla video with Mike about online info publishing. Wow, it feels like yesterday.

Back then, Mike's boys were I think watching TV or playing somewhere else.

So, today was the closing day for Duston McGroarty's The Info Publishing 3.0 8-Week Coaching Program he offered for $1,995.00.

The 3.0 part, from what I can tell from the promotions is AI as a tool to generate your info content. Seems we have finally achieved Ben Suarez' 1993 vision of selling electrons, one day generated by a computer.

Duston shows in his promotions the COMPILATION style of info, citing Jerry Baker as one example, gardeners may recognize the name.

Anyhow, point is.

Since I wrote the NPGS UPDATE HOTLINE newsletter for SCI, which was just one of our INFO products, and over the last 3 decades have sold thousands of specialty reports, hotsheets, and newsletters (and so has Dien Rice)...I just want to point out...

Of all the money making ideas anyone has ever presented here...for someone who doesn't want to go out and sell or influence, or have meetings, sales presentations, lunch and dinner business meetings...

The Joe Karbo LAZY MAN'S way has proven unbeatable for online money making venture and my concept of Stored Value, has also proven time and time again, that information is one of the fastest, easiest, evergreen money making opportunities there is...

with one caveat...

MOST, will muck it up by overthinking, over complicating things and being perfectionists or abashed about their marketing. OK then, sorry for you if it applies.

It is great to see a "kid" who heeded Dad's example, and has carved out his own empire online.

Somewhere there is a young kid who is learning how to make AI do all of the work, and when he figures it out, his future INFO publishing empire will be working for him too.

Newsletters. Reports. HOTSHEETS. Nothing new. Except the 3.0, 4.0 and down the road the 11.0 versions of it.

As SowPub winds down, maybe the archives will be a legacy go to information center on how to create and sell the stored value you have in your brains.

Oh, and I don't feel the least bit sorry for those of you that haven't gotten around to it, just yet. Oh well...

On to the lottery, where dreams never die...and where at Lucky Al's, we meet at the corner of Math and Magic Streets.

Gordon

Re: Bell Curve-Flat Line and Lucky Al's HOTSHEET
 

Gordon,

I've been intrigued with the Pick 3 game for years and won from time to time.

Made the mistake of playing some numbers straight that have NEVER appeared, then on the one day I did not play the number it appears!!!

I had more success playing double numbers with ALL options covered in boxed format. Nowadays, I just watch the BIG drawings and when they get really crazy, I'll buy a ticket.

You could do well with your subscription service. A hat-tip to you sir!

Cheers,

Millard

What I've learned in two decades of lottery play,
 

Best bets for lottery, knowing first and foremost...

There is no such thing as a winning lottery system (I have them all, Ken Silver, Gail Howard, Steve Player, et al, etc.).

But there is MATH: tracking, probability, regression, wheeling, and with a bit of Magic (luck?)...one can play smarter.

Straight bets are hard, so you learned the power of the box/back-up play, and with wheels and double digits, which in Ohio are close to a 25% draw rate...it is easier to collect, IF, one doesn't need to, nor spends what they can't afford to lose.

I do not touch scratch off tickets, would rather throw money out my window. Also, no Keno, nor progressives...Pick 3, Pick 4 and in OH, Rolling Cash 5 (5 of 39)...all the rest are for suckers.

I have a 10 dollar a day budget for Rolling Cash 5, although, I may go 20 days into the month without a play, very chart oriented and although I have yet to win the 100k, I often have 4 numbers wheeled for 300 dollars each, so a good play might yield 1200 to 1500 for a 30 dollar play.

With Pick 3, double digits are my bread and butter, 11, 66 and 22 have done very well for me, an added bonus for Ohio players is we can play only 2 digits, so a 66x, 6x6, x66 play of 1.50 pays 25 if it comes in...that allows for about 15 draws, with about 3 or 4 double digits drawn.

Anyhow, I play it as a fun hobby/business...in other words, as long as it pays for itself, and once in awhile gives me some moolah, it remains fun and entertaining. I learned long ago, not to get greedy, or to think that I know anything about beating the lottery...HA!

But a few Xtra thousand dollars a year from a hobby, keeps me in the game.

Gordon

P.S. In MO, I would track Show Me Cash mostly, it appears to be a good game to play.

So, I took a quick gander and saw in MO for the last 3 months, no single digits were drawn in the Show Me Cash Game for 8 times in Jan., 8 times in Feb., 9 in March, and so far 5 in April.

No 30's were drawn 7 times in Jan., 6 times in Feb., 9 times Mar., and so far only 2 times in April, so my attention would be on wheeling numbers up to 29, and maybe something like one single digit and the rest up to 29 or 2 single digits up to 29. Keep a lookout.

Great example of Bell Curve Flat Line.
 

Thanks to Millard, I looked into the MO lotteries and the Show me Cash game, which is like my Rolling Cash 5 in Ohio, pick 5 from 39.

A nice thing the MO. lottery did was show frequencies, from 5700 drawings, going back 16 years.

There isn't even a 2% difference in the frequency of any of the numbers drawn in a range of 11.1 to 14.0 %...on a chart, this would be the FLAT LINE, where over long periods of time, random numbers tend to level, and this is a perfect example of it.

Now look at just the month of March, the last completed and compare those numbers with the flat line, and you see a bell curve. So this becomes the forecaster, and where most players go wrong, they play cold or DUE numbers when all the states show that playing the hottest numbers in a short period of time is a better play.

The exception is when a number hasn't been drawn for a month 62 draws in twice daily pick 3 games. Recently in OHIO, that was the number 6 in the last digit XX6...so I played as many combos as I could afford and actually won on 566 and X66 which returned about 10x investment.

It is nice these states gives us all these stats, math is good, but when combined with LUCK then winner, winner chicken dinner.

Gordon

Some stats.
 

This is one resource: https://www.searchlogistics.com/lear...ry-statistics/

And I use AI to search for other stats. In Ohio, we have 9+Million adults.

Estimated that 1% OF adult US population plays lottery daily, and 10% weekly.

One percent of 9M is about 90,000 Ohio Lottery players.

I need 1,000 of those for my Newsletter to be worthwhile.

G.

The black dog comes for some...
 

Hi Gordon,

I remember Mike McGroarty! He sold plants I think...

This seems to be his website nowadays...

https://mikesbackyardnursery.com

I remember he used (with your permission) your "Dumb Ol' Dirt Farmer" alter ego... :)

I didn't know about his son Duston McGroarty...

Anyway, I found Duston's website, and signed up for his free newsletter...

Unfortunately, I didn't receive anything... Which I was surprised about... Not even an email acknowledging that I had signed up... I did some more digging...

And I found this post... Which is an email he sent to his customers, which says (in part)...

"This email has been a long time coming. Sorry it took me so long to send this to you.

"I've been suffering from major depression since late June (2023). Many days I couldn't find the will to get out of bed. Why? I don't know why. That's what sucks about this disease."

Depression is no joke... I had some serious depression earlier in my life (late teens - early twenties)...

So I hope and pray Duston is okay and is able to recover... It's not easy. I also lost a good friend to depression about 25 years ago...

Duston's message is here...

https://www.reddit.com/r/Review/comm...mment/kiafkng/

In my case, I found that spirituality helped with the depression... As well as what they call cognitive therapy, which I read about and applied to myself...

If anyone here suffers from depression, feel free to reach out...

Best wishes,

Dien

Re: Bell Curve-Flat Line and Lucky Al's HOTSHEET
 

Thanks Gordon for the tips!

I appreciate your experience. I'm going to do a bit of digging.

With tips like these, I am sure you can get a following for your HOTSHEET.

All the best,

Millard

Thanks Dien, didn't know this.
 

Thanks for the update, he is apparently back at work, his emails have started last month, I've been on the list, although, like so many emails today, I mostly delete without reading...especially anything marketing, yecch.

Mike was on the cover of Mother Earth News and his annual driveway sale of little plants produced thousands of dollars. One time, me and the net Guerrilla, Rick Smith drove up and he gave us a little tour. Hard working guy and a very nice family too.

Depression is a serious thing, not something like a Cher slap to the face of Nick Cage can cure...her famous "Snap Out of It. " line.

Those who don't understand depression often think that is what one needs...glad you found something that worked for you.

As for my Anti Marketers mindset, well, after being behind all the curtains, and getting it...it may be more of anti people mindset these days, not a good mindset to have for a would be marketer.

So, I plan on doing the Lucky Al's Lottery newsletters sans marketing, it will exist, and I guess one could call it affiliate, but any leads, links or looking at this, will be rewarded, but there won't be any copywriting involved...here it is, take it or leave it. If it needs more than that, I'm out.

Gordon

Fun to forecast, without bux.
 

One thing, subscribers will come via the Report (one way or the other), so they will have all those MATH tips.

Let's watch the MO game til the end of the month, see if it has 3 30's, and at least two more with no single digits (thus eliminating 9 numbers) and a good wheel might have no single digits and no 30's too...taking 19 off the table. That is when one can wheel a few bux into thousands.

G.

Re: Bell Curve-Flat Line and Lucky Al's HOTSHEET
 

Gordon-- Was curious what you did with the lotto ... I do have the lotto report and have tracked pick3 using your method.

Though, how to market Lucky AI hotsheet if you're not doing the drop off stack of hotsheets at a minimart? Guess its all online.

Related. What ever happened with tidal wave?

I have been too early in markets before, and it was not a good thing...
 

Thanks jsani, those are great questions. Without boring the group with a laundry list of my failures, which have been many...ones that hurt the most were the ones where I got into the market too early.

TIDAL WAVE was a shout out about SPORTS GAMBLING, and it has indeed been the tidal wave as predicted...but how to cash in? I wanted to do a HOTSHEET, but what would that look like, and how to market it? My ideas PRE event (for Ohio) needed to have a year under their belt...and now we do.

We went through a full college season, and NFL, where college football and NFL account for a huge % of sports betting, and always have, and this year the competition for your gambling dollars is really going to heat up.

What I'm saying is, there is now DATA. We are getting to see a market shake-out and there are certain trends I feel that my wheel house can serve.

Give me a minute here to back track, cause this somethign you can easily verify. Look on your Pick 3 charts for Feb. and Mar of this year, looking at double digits, Jan had 15 out of 62, or close to the 25% the report tells you.

Feb. had 6 and Mar. 12. So first quarter had 33 total, where the report sez that 45 would be closer to long term average...so in my mind and in the Ohio history, it indicates or predicts a whole bunch of double digits is coming our way.

And now in April. 17 with 10 days left. Over the avg in 2/3 of the month. On Sun. 14 I cashed out nicely with 566 being drawn. What were the report indicators for that number? The 6 on the end, which passed the "magic" number of 60, triggering an automatic play with another six, as when one of these does get to DUE, which is seldom, I always play pairs and cover it all the way with back ups. wheels, etc. Since it was only 65 back, those wheels and back ups didn't cost much, and where as the doubles present a next draw opportunity, I also cashed in on Mon. mid with 654, a SEQ. as is also tracked and something monitored.

I will continue to play double digits and be heavy on 11X and 33X (with 339 in all). Now, the four before zero...the 400 took the 00X to five, first one on double digit charts...and this chart is unusual in that already we have 22x, 55x, 66x with four, but always having a double digit from the last one drawn, in this case 300 the day before, and 400 next draw, I cashed in again.

You know I love the double digits as the report says, it is in my opinion one of the sweet spots of the lottery, and a 50 cent boxed pays 83 in Ohio, affords one many days of plays to still have a substantial ROI.

The chase, a new modified BELL CURVE FLAT LINE report, leaving all that Pre covid groups stuff out, but the charts and tracking haven't changed, except I have switched to an 11 x17 format where I now have ONLY ONE large piece of paper with Pick 3, Pick 4, and Rolling Cash 5 on it, and it covers the month. So that is an improvement, in my mind, I wonder why it took me so long to figure that out? duh!!

The tracking is the same, that is the math part...and just having intuition too, like today, I have no feeling for any of the numbers at all, so will skip a day, but the budget money is still there...that is why I encourage folks to skip actual play, and with 20 out of 30 days gone in April, with double digits being hot and some house money in hand, I hope to end with a bang.

Without going into detail, the Ohio Lottery HOTSHEET is a template for all the states, provinces, and territories, hopefully with editors who may have 2 to 4 and they will act as affiliates.

Now there is no such thing as a winning lottery system. But I do stand by the BELL CURVE flat line. And tracking, and playing smart, playing for ROI, not for hope of windfalls. As a hobby, it can be entertaining and FUN, when on a roll...but like ol Kenny sang, you got to know when to fold them, know when to run too.

Too many players hold them.

As for sports gambling, TIDAL WAVE, the "plan" is; to find the intersection, the crossover, where my lottery players have an interest in Sports betting...and to test those groups for any Sports gaming hotsheets.

Last year, strangely, saw more QB injuries turn the season upside down, and College footballand basketball, well, it looks pretty easy to forecast, one needs UPSETS which are rare, but just enough take place to make the long shot player in his dreams.

In NFL, any given Sunday, as Pacino might note, exception being, your star QB goes down.

I think the INJURY REPORTS will be a significant part of any sports HOTSHEET I pursue but another angle I'm working on is the books themselves, I suspect a consolidation isn't far away, and maybe the smaller hungry book, might give just enough of a difference, one can find the cracks and extract their sports gaming moolah through them.

One thing, I haven't taken OFF LINE off the table either, but especially not for the HOTSHEETS, now that I have a single piece of paper for monthly tracking, I don't see why it couldn't sit on the counter of many a momma poppa lottery terminal.

FYI, I will continue to play 33x and those combos,336, 339 an all 33 front, back and split pairs until 33 is hit, or I go broke whichever comes first,

Also, for me, I have to find the right niche for sports gaming, and that is why I want to use lottery as the doorway, and that has more to do with time and effort, which I don't make much of these days, and why I hope to have the editors (affiliates) doing the lion's share of the work.

Also, for what it might be worth to you, from my most recent tracking in OH lottery: hot SEQ 901and 567 hot add 268, and due 224

When I have the updated new report done, I'll send you a copy, just remind me when you see it posted up. Hope you are having FUN with your lottery/sports play, although if an OH football fan, not much to be happy about last year, except Joe Flacco.

Gordon

P.S. My thinking on off line counter tops is this, I'll give the spot 100 and it will have a 3.50 price, the momma/poppa keeps all the money, so if they do sell 100, the keep the 3.50. Larger stores and chains may need sku, which means dealing with corporate types, so unless I can get a sponsor, like 7-11 or CircleK with their own brand, I wouldn't waste much time. I can test 5 to 10 Mom/Pop shops in county, so that is my thinking.

The reason I give them all the moolah, is, because inside there is a subscription offer, so for the cost of a piece of paper and some time giving them away the first of the month, it might be a decent jump start. But that is to be determined.

The evolution of sports betting.
 

Back in the day, say at the VFW, one would pick Ohio State over Michigan and maybe a point spread. Betting was pretty simple.

And also illegal.

So now, what we've seen, and Ohio is new to legalized sports betting, only a year under our belt...but today,

One can create his own bets. A safe bet would be MI over OH. But with the apps, one can pick over/under yards QB will throw, how many sacks the DE will get, how may + or- yards a receiver has. And the more of these you have it gives greater and greater odds...and thus, a 5 dollar bet could return 2,000 or more if you have all the parlay possibilities. It is or can be complicated.

It is so many ways of losing (and I guess, winning too), and there is this entire APP generation who does it all on their cell.

See, where we used to pick a team to win, today's sport book gives you many ways to wager.

Beating the spread is one of the most placed bets. That is why injury reports are so critical. Many NFL games are decided by a touchdown or less, so if you have a so so field go kicker, and the spread is 2.5, and he makes the last minute field goal and wins, he covers the spread.

Anyhow, the point being, I'm studying and looking at all the PAID sports betting advice being given. There is frenzy, and the many, many, many new podcasts, which are recent, didn't have many just a few years ago...but now there is 24/7 sports info, and with apps, anyone can place a wager.

So, in information marketing, I look for a target audience, knowing LOTTERY IS big, there, and they are like squirrels and anything that looks like a nut, they go for...Sports betting...still finding itself where back in the day everything was mostly clandestine, in clubs, bars, below the table...now everything is above board.


It is easy to place a bet, and with luck, maybe turn that 5 into 1,000. And with sports FANS, betting on their home team, well, it isn't any wonder it has grown so fast. Billions.

Finding the people ready, willing and able to PAY for information is the key to all information marketing in general, which is why AVATARS and profiles are so important. I can render a guess at what sports avatars look like, simply by watching an episode of the Pat McAfee show and see the "stooges" in action. By the way, if he had stock, I'd issue a BUY-BUY-BUY alert.

Anyone can start a podcast, and today, it seems everyone does.

It goes full circle to INTENT. Mine is to create, build then SELL a property...that isn't a secret process by any means, but the question is how fast, how big, how easy...leveraging other people, to the point where I sail off into the sunset.

In this fleshing out creating stage, where you throw as much mud on the wall as you can, I have to go slow enough to stay with what sticks until I find that core audience, and make it valuable to them, so when I do sell it off, we all win.

Whether or not sports betting gets folded into it, depends on what I can come up of value to offer...and that may be a cautionary tale, or it could be as simple as this formula: if the starting left tackle, and left guard are not playing, and a DE is a leading sacker in the league, put your money on the defense, against 28 of the 32 QBs in the NFL.

Or maybe a bit more complicated, W=BB X TB-xx (weather/dome) X Taylor Swift

Gordon

More on Stats
 

I've been interested in the Pick 3 games for years and have followed a few numbers specifically. It's interesting to note that of the two Pick 3 numbers that have NEVER hit in the Missouri midday game, 849 hit just the other day. Only one number 035 has never hit in the Missouri midday game.

My experience has been that it gets TOO expensive to just go after one number, hoping that it will come up.

I used to keep a chart tracking overdue doubles, overdue digits by position, back pair, front pair, etc. It was a lotta work!

I would imagine that there are databases online that might track these things (Missouri only seems to track frequency of the bigger games like Show Me Cash, Lotto, Powerball, etc.)

It would certainly interest me to find something to make the Pick 3 fun to play again. Thanks for your thoughts on your playing as well as creating a hot sheet.

Thanks Millard, you have identified the #1 mistake.
 

MO lottery mirrors the OH lottery, some states have that pick 5 of 42, harder to win...as for Pick 3. In an OH Facebook group, with over 18,000 members, everyday someone says IT IS DUE.

NO.

Statistical analysis over a decade shows (and your never picked number reflects this) that a number which has been drawn multiple times RECENTLY is going to come up before one that is DUE.

In Pick 3 games, in OH, that magic due # is 60 (or one month of not being drawn)...then it gets played with box and wheels until it comes up. Next month, I'm going to make a MO HOTSHEET just for you, I'll let you know when it is ready and I'll send it to you, so you can have some FUN again playing.

It is more FUN when you win, and are playing on house money. Not so fun when it comes out of pocket. Think of Jerry Reed, song: When you're hot, your hot...also a catchphrase of Geraldine (Flip Wilson).

Play hot not due, my mantra.

Gordon

Due Numbers and Hot Numbers
 

Gordon,

Thanks for the note concerning my experience. I appreciate your background in using stats and the bell curve. Like a lot of folks, I've got caught up in the past with "due" numbers. It was all emotion and dreaming.

It's refreshing to hear of your experience.

I would be interested in hearing how your Ohio "Hotsheet" works out.

Thank you very much for your offer of the MO sheet. I look forward to it !

Cheers,

Millard

WIN The Lotto Every Time - Guaranteed
 

Thanks Millard,

Dan Kennedy Famously said, "The Majority is Always Wrong. So To Guarantee
Success Do The Opposite of The Herd."

So How Do You Do The Opposite of Playing The Lottery?

And WIN every time?

Well.

I Noticed that Credit Card Company spend Bajillions PUSHING us to Use
their Credit Cards and Apple Pay Watches.

SO I USE CASH.

I Noticed that Inflation is SO BAD that Waiters and Waitresses
TURN Down 1.00 Tips - When I Try to Tip Them BEFORE I order food.

But They GET EXCITED When They WIN a 1.00 from a
Instant Scratch Off Lotto Ticket.

And Even JUMP UP AND DOWN!

WHAT IS GOING ON?

So I Buy 10 - 1.00 Scratchers.

Scratch off Just The Bar Code. Have the Cashier SCAN. Then Bend The Corners
of the Winners.

(This Just Happened )
When A Waitress And 3 out of 4 Cooks ALL WIN a Buck.

Get "Lucky."

One of The THE COOKS CAME OUT To My Table - All Excited.

And THANKED Me!

THINK BACK. This Never Happens, Right? You Never See a Cook.

GAMBLING FEVER.

If I Tipped them all a Buck Each.

YAWN.

But a LOTTO Ticket is Different.

The Gambling Casinos and State Lotto Have TRAINED People
to GET EXCITED When They Gamble.

So when You GIVE AWAY Lotto Tickets
AS
I
Do
to
UPS and Fed X Drivers Delivering Packages to My Neighbors - Not Just for MY Own Packages.

When I Order a Package.

Instead of Getting Tossed out by my mailbox.

Thrown out into my driveway.

Set out on the Grass - so the Driver does Not have to Leave his or her Truck.

MY Packages get Delivered to My Door.

This Works EVEN BETTER at Restaurants.

When a Cook Comes out to Your Table with Your Food. YOU GET a PLATE PILED High.

Thanks,
Glenn

P.S. - Make Moolah with This Idea.

AFTER 21 Years.
Testing 100's of Items.

Here are the 3 MOST POPULAR Pocket size items Waiters and Cashiers CHOOSE
instead of a LOTTO Ticket.

Even tho they cost LESS than a Buck.

https://tippinggold.com/mwdn.php