SOWPub Small Business Forums  
 

Click Here to see the latest posts!

Ask any questions related to business / entrepreneurship / money-making / life
or share your success stories (and educational "failures")...

Sign up for the Hidden Business Ideas Letter Free edition, and receive a free report straight to your inbox: "Idea that works in a pandemic: Ordinary housewife makes $50,000 a month in her spare time, using a simple idea - and her driveway..."

NO BLATANT ADS PLEASE
Also, please no insults or personal attacks.
Feel free to link to your web site though at the end of your posts.

Stay up to date! Get email notifications or
get "new thread" feeds here

 

Go Back   SOWPub Small Business Forums > Main Category > SOWPub Business Forum
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

SOWPub Business Forum Seeds of Wisdom Forum

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old April 15, 2024, 01:35 PM
GordonJ's Avatar
GordonJ GordonJ is offline
Administrator
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: West Palm Beach, FL
Posts: 3,488
Thumbs up Bell Curve-Flat Line and Lucky Al's HOTSHEET

Several years ago, I wrote the Bell Curve Flat Roof report on the lotteries.

I have recently started to develop a weekly HOTSHEET; Lucky Al's Lottery OHIO HOTSHEET...and hopefully it will be ready to roll out June 1, depending...on lots of things.

This weekly newsletter sent out every Sun. Eve to subscribers, who pay the 3.50 per mo. fee. My target is 500 subscribers for the Summer going into the fall. That will give me a gross of 1750 per mo of recurring income, if they maintain subscription, offered ONLY month to month, first come, first served.

This HOTSHEET will be my test, and if garners subscribers, then I will roll it out to other 50 state, province and territory lotteries, roughly at the same price.

The OHIO one is the template, and I may have an "affiliate" for each Hotsheet, depending on the tests go.

The OHIO HOTSHEET will focus on Pick 3, Pick 4 and Rolling Cash 5 with a weekly column also on the multistate lotteries, Megamillions, PowerBall and Lucky for Life...but not the data as is there for the Ohio games.

How will I get subscribers? I'll have a revised Bell Curve Report posted at Gumroad for $19.99 and also a special, if they come via a special link, where they can get it for 2 bux, and that 2 dollars goes to the link sender, hopefully, Ohio Facebook group admins.

The report will offer the subscription, for less than two tickets in the Multistate draws...so at 3.50 per month...I hope it will be a Why Not? purchase.

I plan to make the HOTSHEET entertaining, featuring a weekly article, moon cycles, horoscopes, mailbag (subscribers writing in), and classified ad section where almost anything goes. Almost anything.

The Ohio template will be used for future HOTSHEETS, NY, PA and IL being the first three to be added. I will give a bonus to the "affiliate" for hitting certain subscription numbers.

Anyhow, this is my last information project (although collaboration is still on the table)...and Entertainment and Gaming are evergreen markets with tons of niches, I just happen to play the lottery, so that is what I will stay with for now.

Any thoughts?

Gordon
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old April 16, 2024, 11:27 AM
GordonJ's Avatar
GordonJ GordonJ is offline
Administrator
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: West Palm Beach, FL
Posts: 3,488
Default 25 years later...a 1995.00 course.

I think it has been 25 years since I sat in Mike McGroarty's kitchen eating homemade cookies and doing a guerrilla video with Mike about online info publishing. Wow, it feels like yesterday.

Back then, Mike's boys were I think watching TV or playing somewhere else.

So, today was the closing day for Duston McGroarty's The Info Publishing 3.0 8-Week Coaching Program he offered for $1,995.00.

The 3.0 part, from what I can tell from the promotions is AI as a tool to generate your info content. Seems we have finally achieved Ben Suarez' 1993 vision of selling electrons, one day generated by a computer.

Duston shows in his promotions the COMPILATION style of info, citing Jerry Baker as one example, gardeners may recognize the name.

Anyhow, point is.

Since I wrote the NPGS UPDATE HOTLINE newsletter for SCI, which was just one of our INFO products, and over the last 3 decades have sold thousands of specialty reports, hotsheets, and newsletters (and so has Dien Rice)...I just want to point out...

Of all the money making ideas anyone has ever presented here...for someone who doesn't want to go out and sell or influence, or have meetings, sales presentations, lunch and dinner business meetings...

The Joe Karbo LAZY MAN'S way has proven unbeatable for online money making venture and my concept of Stored Value, has also proven time and time again, that information is one of the fastest, easiest, evergreen money making opportunities there is...

with one caveat...

MOST, will muck it up by overthinking, over complicating things and being perfectionists or abashed about their marketing. OK then, sorry for you if it applies.

It is great to see a "kid" who heeded Dad's example, and has carved out his own empire online.

Somewhere there is a young kid who is learning how to make AI do all of the work, and when he figures it out, his future INFO publishing empire will be working for him too.

Newsletters. Reports. HOTSHEETS. Nothing new. Except the 3.0, 4.0 and down the road the 11.0 versions of it.

As SowPub winds down, maybe the archives will be a legacy go to information center on how to create and sell the stored value you have in your brains.

Oh, and I don't feel the least bit sorry for those of you that haven't gotten around to it, just yet. Oh well...

On to the lottery, where dreams never die...and where at Lucky Al's, we meet at the corner of Math and Magic Streets.

Gordon








Quote:
Originally Posted by GordonJ View Post
Several years ago, I wrote the Bell Curve Flat Roof report on the lotteries.

I have recently started to develop a weekly HOTSHEET; Lucky Al's Lottery OHIO HOTSHEET...and hopefully it will be ready to roll out June 1, depending...on lots of things.

This weekly newsletter sent out every Sun. Eve to subscribers, who pay the 3.50 per mo. fee. My target is 500 subscribers for the Summer going into the fall. That will give me a gross of 1750 per mo of recurring income, if they maintain subscription, offered ONLY month to month, first come, first served.

This HOTSHEET will be my test, and if garners subscribers, then I will roll it out to other 50 state, province and territory lotteries, roughly at the same price.

The OHIO one is the template, and I may have an "affiliate" for each Hotsheet, depending on the tests go.

The OHIO HOTSHEET will focus on Pick 3, Pick 4 and Rolling Cash 5 with a weekly column also on the multistate lotteries, Megamillions, PowerBall and Lucky for Life...but not the data as is there for the Ohio games.

How will I get subscribers? I'll have a revised Bell Curve Report posted at Gumroad for $19.99 and also a special, if they come via a special link, where they can get it for 2 bux, and that 2 dollars goes to the link sender, hopefully, Ohio Facebook group admins.

The report will offer the subscription, for less than two tickets in the Multistate draws...so at 3.50 per month...I hope it will be a Why Not? purchase.

I plan to make the HOTSHEET entertaining, featuring a weekly article, moon cycles, horoscopes, mailbag (subscribers writing in), and classified ad section where almost anything goes. Almost anything.

The Ohio template will be used for future HOTSHEETS, NY, PA and IL being the first three to be added. I will give a bonus to the "affiliate" for hitting certain subscription numbers.

Anyhow, this is my last information project (although collaboration is still on the table)...and Entertainment and Gaming are evergreen markets with tons of niches, I just happen to play the lottery, so that is what I will stay with for now.

Any thoughts?

Gordon
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old April 17, 2024, 10:30 AM
Millard Grubb Millard Grubb is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: The Ozarks
Posts: 310
Default Re: Bell Curve-Flat Line and Lucky Al's HOTSHEET

Gordon,

I've been intrigued with the Pick 3 game for years and won from time to time.

Made the mistake of playing some numbers straight that have NEVER appeared, then on the one day I did not play the number it appears!!!

I had more success playing double numbers with ALL options covered in boxed format. Nowadays, I just watch the BIG drawings and when they get really crazy, I'll buy a ticket.

You could do well with your subscription service. A hat-tip to you sir!

Cheers,

Millard
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old April 17, 2024, 04:31 PM
GordonJ's Avatar
GordonJ GordonJ is offline
Administrator
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: West Palm Beach, FL
Posts: 3,488
Default What I've learned in two decades of lottery play,

Best bets for lottery, knowing first and foremost...

There is no such thing as a winning lottery system (I have them all, Ken Silver, Gail Howard, Steve Player, et al, etc.).

But there is MATH: tracking, probability, regression, wheeling, and with a bit of Magic (luck?)...one can play smarter.

Straight bets are hard, so you learned the power of the box/back-up play, and with wheels and double digits, which in Ohio are close to a 25% draw rate...it is easier to collect, IF, one doesn't need to, nor spends what they can't afford to lose.

I do not touch scratch off tickets, would rather throw money out my window. Also, no Keno, nor progressives...Pick 3, Pick 4 and in OH, Rolling Cash 5 (5 of 39)...all the rest are for suckers.

I have a 10 dollar a day budget for Rolling Cash 5, although, I may go 20 days into the month without a play, very chart oriented and although I have yet to win the 100k, I often have 4 numbers wheeled for 300 dollars each, so a good play might yield 1200 to 1500 for a 30 dollar play.

With Pick 3, double digits are my bread and butter, 11, 66 and 22 have done very well for me, an added bonus for Ohio players is we can play only 2 digits, so a 66x, 6x6, x66 play of 1.50 pays 25 if it comes in...that allows for about 15 draws, with about 3 or 4 double digits drawn.

Anyhow, I play it as a fun hobby/business...in other words, as long as it pays for itself, and once in awhile gives me some moolah, it remains fun and entertaining. I learned long ago, not to get greedy, or to think that I know anything about beating the lottery...HA!

But a few Xtra thousand dollars a year from a hobby, keeps me in the game.

Gordon

P.S. In MO, I would track Show Me Cash mostly, it appears to be a good game to play.

So, I took a quick gander and saw in MO for the last 3 months, no single digits were drawn in the Show Me Cash Game for 8 times in Jan., 8 times in Feb., 9 in March, and so far 5 in April.

No 30's were drawn 7 times in Jan., 6 times in Feb., 9 times Mar., and so far only 2 times in April, so my attention would be on wheeling numbers up to 29, and maybe something like one single digit and the rest up to 29 or 2 single digits up to 29. Keep a lookout.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Millard Grubb View Post
Gordon,

I've been intrigued with the Pick 3 game for years and won from time to time.

Made the mistake of playing some numbers straight that have NEVER appeared, then on the one day did not play the number it appears!!!

I had more success playing double numbers with ALL options covered in boxed format. Nowadays, I just watch the BIG drawings and when they get really crazy, I'll buy a ticket.

You could do well with your subscription service. A hat-tip to you sir!

Cheers,

Millard

Last edited by GordonJ : April 17, 2024 at 04:45 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old April 17, 2024, 05:01 PM
GordonJ's Avatar
GordonJ GordonJ is offline
Administrator
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: West Palm Beach, FL
Posts: 3,488
Default Great example of Bell Curve Flat Line.

Thanks to Millard, I looked into the MO lotteries and the Show me Cash game, which is like my Rolling Cash 5 in Ohio, pick 5 from 39.

A nice thing the MO. lottery did was show frequencies, from 5700 drawings, going back 16 years.

There isn't even a 2% difference in the frequency of any of the numbers drawn in a range of 11.1 to 14.0 %...on a chart, this would be the FLAT LINE, where over long periods of time, random numbers tend to level, and this is a perfect example of it.

Now look at just the month of March, the last completed and compare those numbers with the flat line, and you see a bell curve. So this becomes the forecaster, and where most players go wrong, they play cold or DUE numbers when all the states show that playing the hottest numbers in a short period of time is a better play.

The exception is when a number hasn't been drawn for a month 62 draws in twice daily pick 3 games. Recently in OHIO, that was the number 6 in the last digit XX6...so I played as many combos as I could afford and actually won on 566 and X66 which returned about 10x investment.

It is nice these states gives us all these stats, math is good, but when combined with LUCK then winner, winner chicken dinner.

Gordon











Quote:
Originally Posted by GordonJ View Post
Best bets for lottery, knowing first and foremost...

There is no such thing as a winning lottery system (I have them all, Ken Silver, Gail Howard, Steve Player, et al, etc.).

But there is MATH: tracking, probability, regression, wheeling, and with a bit of Magic (luck?)...one can play smarter.

Straight bets are hard, so you learned the power of the box/back-up play, and with wheels and double digits, which in Ohio are close to a 25% draw rate...it is easier to collect, IF, one doesn't need to, nor spends what they can't afford to lose.

I do not touch scratch off tickets, would rather throw money out my window. Also, no Keno, nor progressives...Pick 3, Pick 4 and in OH, Rolling Cash 5 (5 of 39)...all the rest are for suckers.

I have a 10 dollar a day budget for Rolling Cash 5, although, I may go 20 days into the month without a play, very chart oriented and although I have yet to win the 100k, I often have 4 numbers wheeled for 300 dollars each, so a good play might yield 1200 to 1500 for a 30 dollar play.

With Pick 3, double digits are my bread and butter, 11, 66 and 22 have done very well for me, an added bonus for Ohio players is we can play only 2 digits, so a 66x, 6x6, x66 play of 1.50 pays 25 if it comes in...that allows for about 15 draws, with about 3 or 4 double digits drawn.

Anyhow, I play it as a fun hobby/business...in other words, as long as it pays for itself, and once in awhile gives me some moolah, it remains fun and entertaining. I learned long ago, not to get greedy, or to think that I know anything about beating the lottery...HA!

But a few Xtra thousand dollars a year from a hobby, keeps me in the game.

Gordon

P.S. In MO, I would track Show Me Cash mostly, it appears to be a good game to play.

So, I took a quick gander and saw in MO for the last 3 months, no single digits were drawn in the Show Me Cash Game for 8 times in Jan., 8 times in Feb., 9 in March, and so far 5 in April.

No 30's were drawn 7 times in Jan., 6 times in Feb., 9 times Mar., and so far only 2 times in April, so my attention would be on wheeling numbers up to 29, and maybe something like one single digit and the rest up to 29 or 2 single digits up to 29. Keep a lookout.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old April 17, 2024, 06:11 PM
GordonJ's Avatar
GordonJ GordonJ is offline
Administrator
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: West Palm Beach, FL
Posts: 3,488
Default Some stats.

This is one resource: https://www.searchlogistics.com/lear...ry-statistics/

And I use AI to search for other stats. In Ohio, we have 9+Million adults.

Estimated that 1% OF adult US population plays lottery daily, and 10% weekly.

One percent of 9M is about 90,000 Ohio Lottery players.

I need 1,000 of those for my Newsletter to be worthwhile.

G.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old April 17, 2024, 10:20 PM
Dien Rice Dien Rice is offline
Onwards and upwards!
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 3,376
Default The black dog comes for some...

Hi Gordon,

I remember Mike McGroarty! He sold plants I think...

This seems to be his website nowadays...

https://mikesbackyardnursery.com

I remember he used (with your permission) your "Dumb Ol' Dirt Farmer" alter ego...

I didn't know about his son Duston McGroarty...

Anyway, I found Duston's website, and signed up for his free newsletter...

Unfortunately, I didn't receive anything... Which I was surprised about... Not even an email acknowledging that I had signed up... I did some more digging...

And I found this post... Which is an email he sent to his customers, which says (in part)...
"This email has been a long time coming. Sorry it took me so long to send this to you.

"I've been suffering from major depression since late June (2023). Many days I couldn't find the will to get out of bed. Why? I don't know why. That's what sucks about this disease."
Depression is no joke... I had some serious depression earlier in my life (late teens - early twenties)...

So I hope and pray Duston is okay and is able to recover... It's not easy. I also lost a good friend to depression about 25 years ago...

Duston's message is here...

https://www.reddit.com/r/Review/comm...mment/kiafkng/

In my case, I found that spirituality helped with the depression... As well as what they call cognitive therapy, which I read about and applied to myself...

If anyone here suffers from depression, feel free to reach out...

Best wishes,

Dien

Quote:
Originally Posted by GordonJ View Post
I think it has been 25 years since I sat in Mike McGroarty's kitchen eating homemade cookies and doing a guerrilla video with Mike about online info publishing. Wow, it feels like yesterday.

Back then, Mike's boys were I think watching TV or playing somewhere else.

So, today was the closing day for Duston McGroarty's The Info Publishing 3.0 8-Week Coaching Program he offered for $1,995.00.

The 3.0 part, from what I can tell from the promotions is AI as a tool to generate your info content. Seems we have finally achieved Ben Suarez' 1993 vision of selling electrons, one day generated by a computer.

Duston shows in his promotions the COMPILATION style of info, citing Jerry Baker as one example, gardeners may recognize the name.

Anyhow, point is.

Since I wrote the NPGS UPDATE HOTLINE newsletter for SCI, which was just one of our INFO products, and over the last 3 decades have sold thousands of specialty reports, hotsheets, and newsletters (and so has Dien Rice)...I just want to point out...

Of all the money making ideas anyone has ever presented here...for someone who doesn't want to go out and sell or influence, or have meetings, sales presentations, lunch and dinner business meetings...

The Joe Karbo LAZY MAN'S way has proven unbeatable for online money making venture and my concept of Stored Value, has also proven time and time again, that information is one of the fastest, easiest, evergreen money making opportunities there is...

with one caveat...

MOST, will muck it up by overthinking, over complicating things and being perfectionists or abashed about their marketing. OK then, sorry for you if it applies.

It is great to see a "kid" who heeded Dad's example, and has carved out his own empire online.

Somewhere there is a young kid who is learning how to make AI do all of the work, and when he figures it out, his future INFO publishing empire will be working for him too.

Newsletters. Reports. HOTSHEETS. Nothing new. Except the 3.0, 4.0 and down the road the 11.0 versions of it.

As SowPub winds down, maybe the archives will be a legacy go to information center on how to create and sell the stored value you have in your brains.

Oh, and I don't feel the least bit sorry for those of you that haven't gotten around to it, just yet. Oh well...

On to the lottery, where dreams never die...and where at Lucky Al's, we meet at the corner of Math and Magic Streets.

Gordon
__________________
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old April 18, 2024, 07:11 AM
Millard Grubb Millard Grubb is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: The Ozarks
Posts: 310
Default Re: Bell Curve-Flat Line and Lucky Al's HOTSHEET

Thanks Gordon for the tips!

I appreciate your experience. I'm going to do a bit of digging.

With tips like these, I am sure you can get a following for your HOTSHEET.

All the best,

Millard
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old April 18, 2024, 11:04 AM
GordonJ's Avatar
GordonJ GordonJ is offline
Administrator
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: West Palm Beach, FL
Posts: 3,488
Default Thanks Dien, didn't know this.

Thanks for the update, he is apparently back at work, his emails have started last month, I've been on the list, although, like so many emails today, I mostly delete without reading...especially anything marketing, yecch.

Mike was on the cover of Mother Earth News and his annual driveway sale of little plants produced thousands of dollars. One time, me and the net Guerrilla, Rick Smith drove up and he gave us a little tour. Hard working guy and a very nice family too.

Depression is a serious thing, not something like a Cher slap to the face of Nick Cage can cure...her famous "Snap Out of It. " line.

Those who don't understand depression often think that is what one needs...glad you found something that worked for you.

As for my Anti Marketers mindset, well, after being behind all the curtains, and getting it...it may be more of anti people mindset these days, not a good mindset to have for a would be marketer.

So, I plan on doing the Lucky Al's Lottery newsletters sans marketing, it will exist, and I guess one could call it affiliate, but any leads, links or looking at this, will be rewarded, but there won't be any copywriting involved...here it is, take it or leave it. If it needs more than that, I'm out.

Gordon




Quote:
Originally Posted by Dien Rice View Post
Hi Gordon,

I remember Mike McGroarty! He sold plants I think...

This seems to be his website nowadays...

https://mikesbackyardnursery.com

I remember he used (with your permission) your "Dumb Ol' Dirt Farmer" alter ego...

I didn't know about his son Duston McGroarty...

Anyway, I found Duston's website, and signed up for his free newsletter...

Unfortunately, I didn't receive anything... Which I was surprised about... Not even an email acknowledging that I had signed up... I did some more digging...

And I found this post... Which is an email he sent to his customers, which says (in part)...
"This email has been a long time coming. Sorry it took me so long to send this to you.

"I've been suffering from major depression since late June (2023). Many days I couldn't find the will to get out of bed. Why? I don't know why. That's what sucks about this disease."
Depression is no joke... I had some serious depression earlier in my life (late teens - early twenties)...

So I hope and pray Duston is okay and is able to recover... It's not easy. I also lost a good friend to depression about 25 years ago...

Duston's message is here...

https://www.reddit.com/r/Review/comm...mment/kiafkng/

In my case, I found that spirituality helped with the depression... As well as what they call cognitive therapy, which I read about and applied to myself...

If anyone here suffers from depression, feel free to reach out...

Best wishes,

Dien
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old April 18, 2024, 11:10 AM
GordonJ's Avatar
GordonJ GordonJ is offline
Administrator
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: West Palm Beach, FL
Posts: 3,488
Default Fun to forecast, without bux.

One thing, subscribers will come via the Report (one way or the other), so they will have all those MATH tips.

Let's watch the MO game til the end of the month, see if it has 3 30's, and at least two more with no single digits (thus eliminating 9 numbers) and a good wheel might have no single digits and no 30's too...taking 19 off the table. That is when one can wheel a few bux into thousands.

G.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Millard Grubb View Post
Thanks Gordon for the tips!

I appreciate your experience. I'm going to do a bit of digging.

With tips like these, I am sure you can get a following for your HOTSHEET.

All the best,

Millard
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump

Other recent posts on the forum...


Seeds of Wisdom Publishing (front page) | Seeds of Wisdom Business forum | Seeds of Wisdom Original Business Forum (Archive) | Hidden Unusual Business Ideas Newsletter | Hotsheet Profits | Persuade via Remote Influence | Affia Band | The Entrepreneur's Hotsheet | The SeedZine (Entrepreneurial Ezine)

Get the report on Harvey Brody's Answers to a Question-Oriented-Person


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:49 PM.


Powered by vBulletin Version 3.6.0
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.